Main
Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Jon Delos Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyoji Horiguchi
Jon Delos Reyes
97%
3%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
37-5
Career record
Δ 31 pp
8-6
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Horiguchi: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Delos Reyes: 13 sig / 0 TD
Kyoji Horiguchi
Jon Delos Reyes
42
Sig strikes landed
16
82
Sig strikes attempted
62
69
Total strikes landed
23
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.60
Knockdowns
0.00
238s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
37-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jon Delos Reyes
"The Heat"
8-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—