Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Anying Wang
Colby Covington
35%
65%
Why
23
Age
Δ 3y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Wang: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Covington: 11 sig / 2 TD
Anying Wang
Colby Covington
20
Sig strikes landed
34
59
Sig strikes attempted
72
31
Total strikes landed
49
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
106s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anying Wang
3-1
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
Blue corner
Colby Covington
"Chaos"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27