Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roland Delorme
Yuta Sasaki
24%
76%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
L2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Delorme: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Sasaki: 5 sig / 0 TD
Roland Delorme
Yuta Sasaki
23
Sig strikes landed
35
53
Sig strikes attempted
70
39
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
109s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Roland Delorme
9-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
L
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
Yuta Sasaki
"Ulka"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25