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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Yao Zhikui vs Royston Wee

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Yao Zhikui
Royston Wee
50% 50%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
24
Age
Δ 4y
28
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Zhikui: 27 sig / 0 TD · Wee: 18 sig / 3 TD
Yao Zhikui
Royston Wee
8
Sig strikes landed
15
17
Sig strikes attempted
19
36
Total strikes landed
45
0.2
Takedowns landed
2.9
-0.1
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
279s
Method
Decision
14%
KO/TKO
6%
Submission
80%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Yao Zhikui

"The Conqueror"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
W1

Royston Wee

5-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
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