Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alberto Mina
Shinsho Anzai
66%
34%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 7"
70"
32
Age
Δ 4y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mina: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Anzai: 31 sig / 1 TD
Alberto Mina
Shinsho Anzai
40
Sig strikes landed
32
78
Sig strikes attempted
69
56
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
168s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Alberto Mina
"Soldier of God"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Shinsho Anzai
"Animal"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29