Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sai Wang
Danny Mitchell
70%
30%
Why
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
20-7-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-10-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wang: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Mitchell: 58 sig / 0 TD
Sai Wang
Danny Mitchell
25
Sig strikes landed
24
55
Sig strikes attempted
48
63
Total strikes landed
61
2.8
Takedowns landed
2.1
5.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
285s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sai Wang
"The Fire Kylin"
20-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
Blue corner
L1
Danny Mitchell
"The Cheesecake Assassin"
19-10-1
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—