Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Guangyou Ning
Jianping Yang
34%
66%
Why
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ning: 31 sig / 2 TD ·
Yang: 21 sig / 1 TD
Guangyou Ning
Jianping Yang
32
Sig strikes landed
38
59
Sig strikes attempted
80
42
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Guangyou Ning
"Smasher"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
Blue corner
Jianping Yang
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26