Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tyron Woodley
Dong Hyun Kim
43%
57%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 0y
33
19-8-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
23-4-1
L1
Current streak
W4
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Woodley: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Kim: 2 sig / 0 TD
Tyron Woodley
Dong Hyun Kim
15
Sig strikes landed
26
37
Sig strikes attempted
60
26
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
64s
Control time
257s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
W4
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
L
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—