Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Cung Le
91%
9%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
36
Age
Δ 7y
42
30-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
10-3
L1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Bisping: 92 sig / 0 TD ·
Le: 38 sig / 0 TD
Michael Bisping
Cung Le
54
Sig strikes landed
39
141
Sig strikes attempted
86
74
Total strikes landed
40
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
9s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
Blue corner
W2
Cung Le
10-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
42
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
L
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—