Main
Featherweight
Clay Guida vs Dennis Bermudez
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
·San Jose Civic Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Clay Guida
Dennis Bermudez
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
39-22
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W6
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Guida: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Bermudez: 47 sig / 2 TD
Clay Guida
Dennis Bermudez
32
Sig strikes landed
50
98
Sig strikes attempted
117
53
Total strikes landed
73
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
5.9
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
96s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
39-22
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
L
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
L
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
L
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
Blue corner
W6
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
18-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—