Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yancy Medeiros
Damon Jackson
39%
61%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
L2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Medeiros: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Jackson: 20 sig / 0 TD
Yancy Medeiros
Damon Jackson
24
Sig strikes landed
38
62
Sig strikes attempted
72
36
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
100s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Yancy Medeiros
15-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
26