Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
Diego Ferreira
43%
57%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
26
Age
Δ 3y
30
10-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
20-7
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nijem: 18 sig / 2 TD ·
Ferreira: 25 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
Diego Ferreira
13
Sig strikes landed
23
32
Sig strikes attempted
46
24
Total strikes landed
31
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ramsey Nijem
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W1
Diego Ferreira
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—