Main
Women's Bantamweight
Bethe Correia vs Shayna Baszler
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
·Sleep Train Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Bethe Correia
Shayna Baszler
65%
35%
Why
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Correia: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Baszler: 8 sig / 1 TD
Bethe Correia
Shayna Baszler
51
Sig strikes landed
44
98
Sig strikes attempted
99
72
Total strikes landed
76
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
184s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
12-6-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
Shayna Baszler
"The Queen of Spades"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34