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Prelims1 Flyweight

Richie Vaculik vs Roldan Sangcha'an

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt ·Spark Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Richie Vaculik
Roldan Sangcha'an
54% 46%
Why
31
Age
Δ 7y
24
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vaculik: 27 sig / 4 TD · Sangcha'an: 36 sig / 1 TD
Richie Vaculik
Roldan Sangcha'an
25
Sig strikes landed
33
55
Sig strikes attempted
61
42
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
108s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Richie Vaculik

"Vas"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
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Blue corner

Roldan Sangcha'an

"The Executioner"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24