Prelims1
Flyweight
Richie Vaculik vs Roldan Sangcha'an
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Richie Vaculik
Roldan Sangcha'an
54%
46%
Why
31
Age
Δ 7y
24
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vaculik: 27 sig / 4 TD ·
Sangcha'an: 36 sig / 1 TD
Richie Vaculik
Roldan Sangcha'an
25
Sig strikes landed
33
55
Sig strikes attempted
61
42
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
108s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Richie Vaculik
"Vas"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
Roldan Sangcha'an
"The Executioner"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24