Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Indich
Vik Grujic
90%
10%
Why
27
Age
Δ 10y
37
6-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
6-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Indich: 14 sig / 1 TD ·
Grujic: 15 sig / 1 TD
Chris Indich
Vik Grujic
45
Sig strikes landed
47
112
Sig strikes attempted
113
63
Total strikes landed
65
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
233s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chris Indich
6-5
Career record
Height
70"
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L1
Vik Grujic
"The Spartan"
6-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—