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Prelims1 Featherweight

Dan Hooker vs Ian Entwistle

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt ·Spark Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Ian Entwistle
67% 33%
Why
24
Age
Δ 3y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hooker: 12 sig / 0 TD · Entwistle: 1 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Ian Entwistle
40
Sig strikes landed
30
82
Sig strikes attempted
69
57
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dan Hooker

"The Hangman"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
Blue corner

Ian Entwistle

"Enty"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28