Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Gian Villante vs Sean O'Connell
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Sean O'Connell
52%
48%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
17-15
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Villante: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
O'Connell: 109 sig / 0 TD
Gian Villante
Sean O'Connell
32
Sig strikes landed
37
59
Sig strikes attempted
58
56
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
L1
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
17-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—