Prelims1
Welterweight
Neil Magny vs Rodrigo de Lima
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Rodrigo de Lima
74%
26%
Why
27
Age
Δ 4y
23
W2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Magny: 30 sig / 2 TD ·
de Lima: 5 sig / 1 TD
Neil Magny
Rodrigo de Lima
41
Sig strikes landed
35
97
Sig strikes attempted
79
59
Total strikes landed
63
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
164s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
Rodrigo de Lima
"Monstro"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23