Main
Welterweight
Robert Whittaker vs Mike Rhodes
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Mike Rhodes
85%
15%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
27-10
Career record
Δ 10 pp
10-6
L2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Whittaker: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Rhodes: 47 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whittaker
Mike Rhodes
59
Sig strikes landed
51
138
Sig strikes attempted
119
76
Total strikes landed
63
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
68s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
L1
Mike Rhodes
"Biggie"
10-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—