Main
Bantamweight
Marcus Brimage vs Russell Doane
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marcus Brimage
Russell Doane
32%
68%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
7-8
Career record
Δ 20 pp
16-8
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Brimage: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Doane: 24 sig / 3 TD
Marcus Brimage
Russell Doane
44
Sig strikes landed
52
113
Sig strikes attempted
131
45
Total strikes landed
70
-0.1
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.1
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
-5s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marcus Brimage
"The Bama Beast"
7-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W1
Russell Doane
16-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—