Main
Middleweight
Uriah Hall vs Thiago Santos
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Uriah Hall
Thiago Santos
51%
49%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
19-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-11
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hall: 42 sig / 1 TD ·
Santos: 44 sig / 0 TD
Uriah Hall
Thiago Santos
32
Sig strikes landed
28
64
Sig strikes attempted
62
45
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Uriah Hall
"Prime Time"
19-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
W1
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
23-11
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—