Prelims1
Welterweight
Kenny Robertson vs Ildemar Alcantara
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kenny Robertson
Ildemar Alcantara
57%
43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
16-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Robertson: 70 sig / 3 TD ·
Alcantara: 22 sig / 1 TD
Kenny Robertson
Ildemar Alcantara
25
Sig strikes landed
30
50
Sig strikes attempted
63
43
Total strikes landed
53
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
177s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kenny Robertson
16-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
W1
Ildemar Alcantara
"Marajo"
22-11
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—