Prelims1
Middleweight
Chris Camozzi vs Bruno Santos
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Chris Camozzi
Bruno Santos
50%
50%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
24-14
Career record
Δ 20 pp
15-3
L2
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Camozzi: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Santos: 25 sig / 4 TD
Chris Camozzi
Bruno Santos
40
Sig strikes landed
28
87
Sig strikes attempted
57
62
Total strikes landed
53
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.4
1.0
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
119s
Control time
272s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Chris Camozzi
24-14
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
Blue corner
L1
Bruno Santos
"Carioca"
15-3
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—