Back to UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Prelims1 Middleweight

Magnus Cedenblad vs Krzysztof Jotko

UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi ·O2 World
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Magnus Cedenblad
Krzysztof Jotko
25% 75%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
15-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
25-6
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Cedenblad: 17 sig / 3 TD · Jotko: 15 sig / 0 TD
Magnus Cedenblad
Krzysztof Jotko
12
Sig strikes landed
20
32
Sig strikes attempted
38
26
Total strikes landed
47
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
263s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
42%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Magnus Cedenblad

"Jycken"
15-5
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
W1

Krzysztof Jotko

25-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—