Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andy Ogle
Maximo Blanco
67%
33%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
25
Age
Δ 5y
31
9-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-9-1
L2
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ogle: 44 sig / 1 TD ·
Blanco: 60 sig / 1 TD
Andy Ogle
Maximo Blanco
39
Sig strikes landed
35
83
Sig strikes attempted
81
71
Total strikes landed
71
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
259s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Andy Ogle
"The Little Axe"
9-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
L2
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
12-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—