Main
Featherweight
Ricardo Lamas vs Hacran Dias
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Hacran Dias
45%
55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
20-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lamas: 33 sig / 2 TD ·
Dias: 31 sig / 2 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Hacran Dias
29
Sig strikes landed
31
73
Sig strikes attempted
74
49
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
Blue corner
L1
Hacran Dias
"Barnabe"
23-7-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—