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Main Middleweight

Clint Hester vs Antonio Braga Neto

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens ·Frost Bank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Clint Hester
Antonio Braga Neto
59% 41%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
12-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
10-3
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hester: 40 sig / 1 TD · Neto: 16 sig / 3 TD
Clint Hester
Antonio Braga Neto
33
Sig strikes landed
28
87
Sig strikes attempted
77
37
Total strikes landed
39
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
98s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Clint Hester

"Headbussa"
12-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
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Blue corner
W1

Antonio Braga Neto

10-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
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