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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Johnny Bedford vs Cody Gibson

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens ·Frost Bank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Johnny Bedford
Cody Gibson
53% 47%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
21-13-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-13
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Bedford: 7 sig / 0 TD · Gibson: 3 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Bedford
Cody Gibson
39
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
80
66
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
118s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Johnny Bedford

"Brutal"
21-13-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
L1

Cody Gibson

"The Renegade"
22-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—