Prelims1
Middleweight
Marcelo Guimaraes vs Andy Enz
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Marcelo Guimaraes
Andy Enz
50%
50%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
31
Age
Δ 8y
23
9-3-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Guimaraes: 78 sig / 3 TD ·
Enz: 42 sig / 0 TD
Marcelo Guimaraes
Andy Enz
69
Sig strikes landed
57
136
Sig strikes attempted
140
86
Total strikes landed
74
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
209s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marcelo Guimaraes
"Magrao"
9-3-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
Blue corner
L1
Andy Enz
"Tank Mode"
10-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—