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Jon Tuck vs Jake Lindsey

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov ·Tingley Coliseum
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jon Tuck
Jake Lindsey
53% 47%
Why
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Tuck: 46 sig / 3 TD · Lindsey: 49 sig / 0 TD
Jon Tuck
Jake Lindsey
45
Sig strikes landed
45
106
Sig strikes attempted
103
61
Total strikes landed
62
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
173s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jon Tuck

"Super Saiyan"
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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W UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
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Blue corner

Jake Lindsey

"The Librarian"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
28