Prelims1
Flyweight
Scott Jorgensen vs Danny Martinez
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
·Tingley Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Scott Jorgensen
Danny Martinez
25%
75%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
15-13
Career record
Δ 16 pp
21-9
L3
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jorgensen: 40 sig / 10 TD ·
Martinez: 47 sig / 0 TD
Scott Jorgensen
Danny Martinez
36
Sig strikes landed
40
88
Sig strikes attempted
104
69
Total strikes landed
82
3.1
Takedowns landed
3.6
4.4
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
277s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15-13
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
L
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
Blue corner
L1
Danny Martinez
"The Gremlin"
21-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
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