Main
Lightweight
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Jason High
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
·Tingley Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rafael Dos Anjos
Jason High
67%
33%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
32-18
Career record
Δ 15 pp
22-6
L1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dos Anjos: 36 sig / 2 TD ·
High: 24 sig / 3 TD
Rafael Dos Anjos
Jason High
29
Sig strikes landed
23
81
Sig strikes attempted
78
45
Total strikes landed
37
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
142s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rafael Dos Anjos
32-18
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
Blue corner
W2
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
22-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—