Main
Lightweight
Yves Edwards vs Piotr Hallmann
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
·Tingley Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yves Edwards
Piotr Hallmann
59%
41%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
38
Age
Δ 11y
27
42-22-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-7
L2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Edwards: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Hallmann: 56 sig / 4 TD
Yves Edwards
Piotr Hallmann
46
Sig strikes landed
55
108
Sig strikes attempted
129
61
Total strikes landed
71
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
110s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Yves Edwards
42-22-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
Blue corner
L1
Piotr Hallmann
"Pletwal"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—