Back to UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Prelims1 Welterweight

Bobby Voelker vs Lance Benoist

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov ·Tingley Coliseum
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Bobby Voelker
Lance Benoist
40% 60%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
19-14
Career record
Δ 12 pp
7-3
L3
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Voelker: 37 sig / 0 TD · Benoist: 56 sig / 2 TD
Bobby Voelker
Lance Benoist
54
Sig strikes landed
60
123
Sig strikes attempted
144
79
Total strikes landed
72
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
158s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Bobby Voelker

"Vicious"
19-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L2

Lance Benoist

7-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
W UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—