Main
Lightweight
Diego Sanchez vs Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
·Tingley Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Ross Pearson
81%
19%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
32
Age
Δ 3y
30
31-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
20-16
L2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sanchez: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Pearson: 51 sig / 1 TD
Diego Sanchez
Ross Pearson
44
Sig strikes landed
52
128
Sig strikes attempted
125
55
Total strikes landed
62
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
83s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
W2
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
L
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—