Prelims1
Bantamweight
Yaotzin Meza vs Sergio Pettis
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
·Tingley Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yaotzin Meza
Sergio Pettis
33%
67%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
33
Age
Δ 12y
21
21-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-6
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Meza: 43 sig / 1 TD ·
Pettis: 54 sig / 0 TD
Yaotzin Meza
Sergio Pettis
39
Sig strikes landed
44
110
Sig strikes attempted
114
55
Total strikes landed
68
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
232s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Yaotzin Meza
21-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
L1
Sergio Pettis
18-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—