Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Justin Salas
Ben Wall
59%
41%
Why
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
12-8
Career record
Δ 13 pp
8-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Salas: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Wall: 4 sig / 0 TD
Justin Salas
Ben Wall
32
Sig strikes landed
33
64
Sig strikes attempted
68
49
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
147s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Justin Salas
"J-Bomb"
12-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ben Wall
"Manimal"
8-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—