Main
Featherweight
Rony Jason vs Robert Peralta
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Rony Jason
Robert Peralta
46%
54%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
15-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jason: 30 sig / 2 TD ·
Peralta: 51 sig / 1 TD
Rony Jason
Robert Peralta
25
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
77
33
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rony Jason
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Robert Peralta
"Problems"
19-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—