Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
Beneil Dariush
28%
72%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
10-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
24-8-1
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nijem: 34 sig / 1 TD ·
Dariush: 9 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
Beneil Dariush
12
Sig strikes landed
23
44
Sig strikes attempted
65
23
Total strikes landed
36
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ramsey Nijem
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
Blue corner
W1
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—