Back to UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Chris Holdsworth vs Chico Camus

UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Holdsworth
Chico Camus
75% 25%
Why
27
Age
Δ 3y
29
7-0
Career record
Δ 29 pp
17-7
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holdsworth: 26 sig / 4 TD · Camus: 25 sig / 0 TD
Chris Holdsworth
Chico Camus
36
Sig strikes landed
28
62
Sig strikes attempted
68
68
Total strikes landed
52
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
254s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Chris Holdsworth

7-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
W1

Chico Camus

"The King"
17-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
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W UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—