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Nordine Taleb vs Vik Grujic

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy ·Colisee Pepsi
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Vik Grujic
78% 22%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
33
Age
Δ 4y
37

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taleb: 48 sig / 4 TD · Grujic: 4 sig / 0 TD
Nordine Taleb
Vik Grujic
38
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
70
55
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Nordine Taleb

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Vik Grujic

"The Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37