Prelims2
Lightweight
Mark Bocek vs Mike de la Torre
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy
·Colisee Pepsi
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Mark Bocek
Mike de la Torre
50%
50%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Bocek: 70 sig / 3 TD ·
de la Torre: 57 sig / 1 TD
Mark Bocek
Mike de la Torre
32
Sig strikes landed
32
66
Sig strikes attempted
67
56
Total strikes landed
49
3.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
303s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mark Bocek
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
Mike de la Torre
"El Cucuy"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28