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Prelims2 Welterweight

Richard Walsh vs Chris Indich

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Richard Walsh
Chris Indich
81% 19%
Why
25
Age
Δ 2y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Walsh: 71 sig / 5 TD · Indich: 12 sig / 0 TD
Richard Walsh
Chris Indich
47
Sig strikes landed
44
109
Sig strikes attempted
103
65
Total strikes landed
57
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
143s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Richard Walsh

"Filthy Rich"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Chris Indich

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
27