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Main Middleweight

Sheldon Westcott vs Elias Theodorou

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sheldon Westcott
Elias Theodorou
36% 64%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Westcott: 13 sig / 2 TD · Theodorou: 73 sig / 3 TD
Sheldon Westcott
Elias Theodorou
34
Sig strikes landed
41
67
Sig strikes attempted
82
47
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
103s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sheldon Westcott

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner

Elias Theodorou

"The Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26