Main
Featherweight
Dustin Poirier vs Akira Corassani
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy
·Colisee Pepsi
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dustin Poirier
Akira Corassani
92%
8%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
25
Age
Δ 6y
32
31-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-6
W2
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Poirier: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Corassani: 24 sig / 0 TD
Dustin Poirier
Akira Corassani
43
Sig strikes landed
27
83
Sig strikes attempted
64
60
Total strikes landed
39
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
216s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
31-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
Blue corner
W3
Akira Corassani
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—