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Michel Prazeres vs Mairbek Taisumov

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 ·Ginasio Nelio Dias
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Michel Prazeres
Mairbek Taisumov
48% 52%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
27-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
28-6
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Prazeres: 35 sig / 3 TD · Taisumov: 26 sig / 0 TD
Michel Prazeres
Mairbek Taisumov
22
Sig strikes landed
26
55
Sig strikes attempted
73
49
Total strikes landed
49
2.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
7.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
238s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Michel Prazeres

"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
L UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
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Blue corner
W1

Mairbek Taisumov

"Beckan"
28-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
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