Main
Featherweight
Rony Jason vs Steven Siler
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
·Ginasio Nelio Dias
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rony Jason
Steven Siler
42%
58%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
14-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
29-17
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jason: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Siler: 11 sig / 0 TD
Rony Jason
Steven Siler
28
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
76
40
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rony Jason
14-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Steven Siler
"Super"
29-17
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—