Main
Lightweight
Leonardo Santos vs Norman Parke
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
·Ginasio Nelio Dias
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Leonardo Santos
Norman Parke
35%
65%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
19-7-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-6-1
W1
Current streak
W3
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Santos: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Parke: 37 sig / 0 TD
Leonardo Santos
Norman Parke
35
Sig strikes landed
39
97
Sig strikes attempted
106
49
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
113s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Leonardo Santos
19-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
W3
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
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