Main
Middleweight
Cezar Ferreira vs CB Dollaway
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
·Ginasio Nelio Dias
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cezar Ferreira
CB Dollaway
58%
42%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
14-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-10
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ferreira: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Dollaway: 12 sig / 0 TD
Cezar Ferreira
CB Dollaway
26
Sig strikes landed
21
66
Sig strikes attempted
54
40
Total strikes landed
30
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
14-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
L1
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—