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Francimar Barroso vs Hans Stringer

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Francimar Barroso
Hans Stringer
41% 59%
Why
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
W1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Barroso: 36 sig / 3 TD · Stringer: 44 sig / 1 TD
Francimar Barroso
Hans Stringer
28
Sig strikes landed
34
58
Sig strikes attempted
77
43
Total strikes landed
52
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
176s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Francimar Barroso

"Bodao"
20-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Blue corner

Hans Stringer

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27